Friday, October 2, 2020

Laurelwood October 2, 2020

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Thursday, October 1, 2020

at the very beginning

After six months of altered lives avoiding contagion
Making us tired of what feels like a long time
No one wants to hear the reasons why
Really we are at the very beginning

Many people have stopped taking precautions
Wanting to believe the great misleader
Pretending COVID is harmless or a hoax
There’s no reasoning with them about it

But a thoughtful look at the numbers says otherwise
With a population of 370 million in this country 
And 7 million infected so far officially
That leaves almost everyone still at risk

And even if you triple the official count
Still 95 percent remain vulnerable
And even if only half of those eventually get it
The death rate so far will mean 2 million people die

It's possible a vaccine will protect us
That's the best case scenario we hope for
But realistically not available for regular people
Until at least 9 months  from now 

And all the anti-vaxxer refuseniks won't do it 
And all the cautious people wary of the rush job
Who wait to see what harm may come of it 
Means that the virus will keep spreading 

And there's no vaccine in development for children 
So they will be carriers as well no matter what 
Passing it around the schools and community 
Making the coronavirus endemic with no end in sight

In a global pandemic there are no boundaries
Where 33 million have been infected to date officially 
And using the same tripling estimate for an actual count 
That leaves 98 percent of 7.8 billion not yet infected 

And if only half of those eventually catch it
The death rate so far will mean 25 million humans die
A grim projection that calls for a cooperative world effort 
Doing what we can to reduce suffering and save lives

Bamboo Brook October 1, 2020

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Hacklebarney Black River October 1, 2020

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